TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Caijsa Wilda Hennemann and Maja Radenkovic in the W15 Taby, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Caijsa Wilda Hennemann' if Caijsa Wilda Hennemann advances against Maja Radenkovic. This market will resolve to 'Maja Radenkovic' if Maja Radenkovic advances against Caijsa Wilda Hennemann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Caijsa Wilda Hennemann and Maja Radenkovic in the W15 Taby, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Caijsa Wilda Hennemann' if Caijsa Wilda Hennemann advances against Maja Radenkovic. This market will resolve to 'Maja Radenkovic' if Maja Radenkovic advances against Caijsa Wilda Hennemann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the insights of their own experts, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individuals. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or perspectives not fully incorporated by sportsbooks. However, both sources aim to accurately predict the outcome, and their odds can converge as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the match’s likely result. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares, and there is no central authority setting the odds.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Taby tennis match between Caijsa Wilda Hennemann and Maja Radenkovic. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or changes in their rankings, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment or the emergence of new information about their head-to-head record could all contribute to price movements. Increased trading volume closer to the match date is also likely to cause volatility.