TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Biot and Grace Bernstein in the W15 Taby, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Biot' if Alexandra Biot advances against Grace Bernstein. This market will resolve to 'Grace Bernstein' if Grace Bernstein advances against Alexandra Biot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Biot and Grace Bernstein in the W15 Taby, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Biot' if Alexandra Biot advances against Grace Bernstein. This market will resolve to 'Grace Bernstein' if Grace Bernstein advances against Alexandra Biot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different types of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Taby match between Alexandra Biot and Grace Bernstein. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should ensure they understand the resolution process before participating, as it defines how their shares will be redeemed based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Alexandra Biot or Grace Bernstein could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the tournament itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, might also have an impact. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, potentially driven by social media or expert analysis, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements.