TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 7:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tania Munteanu and Aleksandra Janiszewska in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tania Munteanu' if Tania Munteanu advances against Aleksandra Janiszewska. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandra Janiszewska' if Aleksandra Janiszewska advances against Tania Munteanu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tania Munteanu and Aleksandra Janiszewska in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tania Munteanu' if Tania Munteanu advances against Aleksandra Janiszewska. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandra Janiszewska' if Aleksandra Janiszewska advances against Tania Munteanu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are bought for one outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in the market, creating a dynamic and real-time estimate of the event's likelihood. The current price is determined by supply and demand for shares in the market, and the volume traded indicates the level of interest and conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár tennis match between Tania Munteanu and Aleksandra Janiszewska. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which player won the match. The outcome will be determined by the official score reported by the tournament organizers, and the market will settle accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results for Tania Munteanu or Aleksandra Janiszewska, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location might also affect player performance and influence trading. Furthermore, major shifts in public perception or analysis from tennis experts could drive changes in the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions. A strong performance by either player in a preceding match could also move this market.