TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 3:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tamara Sramkova and Ema Lina Picorusevic in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tamara Sramkova' if Tamara Sramkova advances against Ema Lina Picorusevic. This market will resolve to 'Ema Lina Picorusevic' if Ema Lina Picorusevic advances against Tamara Sramkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tamara Sramkova and Ema Lina Picorusevic in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tamara Sramkova' if Tamara Sramkova advances against Ema Lina Picorusevic. This market will resolve to 'Ema Lina Picorusevic' if Ema Lina Picorusevic advances against Tamara Sramkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by actual money being wagered. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. This difference can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous, decentralized exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating growing confidence in a particular outcome, while selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár match between Tamara Sramkova and Ema Lina Picorusevic, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, and shares will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also impact perceptions of the players’ chances. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum, driving the price in a particular direction. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.