TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between NORA HORVATH and Nikol Sevald in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'NORA HORVATH' if NORA HORVATH advances against Nikol Sevald. This market will resolve to 'Nikol Sevald' if Nikol Sevald advances against NORA HORVATH. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between NORA HORVATH and Nikol Sevald in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'NORA HORVATH' if NORA HORVATH advances against Nikol Sevald. This market will resolve to 'Nikol Sevald' if Nikol Sevald advances against NORA HORVATH. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions regarding the Horvath vs Sevald match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár match between Nora Horvath and Nikol Sevald, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player could also impact perceptions of their overall ability and chances in the Horvath vs Sevald match. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations on Polymarket. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding market movements.