TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nika Ilic and Simona Wirglerova in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nika Ilic' if Nika Ilic advances against Simona Wirglerova. This market will resolve to 'Simona Wirglerova' if Simona Wirglerova advances against Nika Ilic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nika Ilic and Simona Wirglerova in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nika Ilic' if Nika Ilic advances against Simona Wirglerova. This market will resolve to 'Simona Wirglerova' if Simona Wirglerova advances against Nika Ilic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Ilic vs Wirglerova match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár match between Nika Ilic and Simona Wirglerova, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, broader tennis news or analysis from respected commentators could also play a role. Increased trading volume closer to the match date is also a signal to watch, as it often indicates heightened interest and potentially new information entering the market.