TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$323,326,361
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Pawelska and Simona Wirglerova in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Pawelska' if Maja Pawelska advances against Simona Wirglerova. This market will resolve to 'Simona Wirglerova' if Simona Wirglerova advances against Maja Pawelska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Pawelska and Simona Wirglerova in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Pawelska' if Maja Pawelska advances against Simona Wirglerova. This market will resolve to 'Simona Wirglerova' if Simona Wirglerova advances against Maja Pawelska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there is significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Examining these differences can reveal insights into how the crowd perceives the event compared to professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changes in sentiment and expectations surrounding the Pawelska vs Wirglerova match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár match between Maja Pawelska and Simona Wirglerova, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or analysis suggesting a shift in their competitive advantage, could also drive price movements. Even broader factors, such as weather forecasts or public sentiment expressed on social media, might contribute to changes in the market’s assessment of the likely outcome of the Pawelska vs Wirglerova match.