TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 7:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Pawelska and Patricia Bordas in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Pawelska' if Maja Pawelska advances against Patricia Bordas. This market will resolve to 'Patricia Bordas' if Patricia Bordas advances against Maja Pawelska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Pawelska and Patricia Bordas in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Pawelska' if Maja Pawelska advances against Patricia Bordas. This market will resolve to 'Patricia Bordas' if Patricia Bordas advances against Maja Pawelska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Pawelska vs Bordas match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár match between Maja Pawelska and Patricia Bordas. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available tennis results and standings. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even broader tournament upsets, might also cause price adjustments. Furthermore, major weather forecasts impacting outdoor play, or any announcements relating to the match schedule, could all contribute to movement in this market. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts could also sway opinions and trading activity.