TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 7:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Llinares Domingo and Verica Zrnic in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Llinares Domingo' if Lucia Llinares Domingo advances against Verica Zrnic. This market will resolve to 'Verica Zrnic' if Verica Zrnic advances against Lucia Llinares Domingo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Llinares Domingo and Verica Zrnic in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Llinares Domingo' if Lucia Llinares Domingo advances against Verica Zrnic. This market will resolve to 'Verica Zrnic' if Verica Zrnic advances against Lucia Llinares Domingo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds adjust based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár tennis match between Lucia Llinares Domingo and Verica Zrnic. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the victor of the match, as reported by the official tournament organizers.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts or reports about the court surface could also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants, or even large individual trades, can cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing the trading activity on Polymarket will provide insight into potential catalysts for price changes.