TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorena Schaedel and Maileen Nuudi in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorena Schaedel' if Lorena Schaedel advances against Maileen Nuudi. This market will resolve to 'Maileen Nuudi' if Maileen Nuudi advances against Lorena Schaedel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorena Schaedel and Maileen Nuudi in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorena Schaedel' if Lorena Schaedel advances against Maileen Nuudi. This market will resolve to 'Maileen Nuudi' if Maileen Nuudi advances against Lorena Schaedel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and adjust more rapidly to new developments than sportsbooks, especially in situations with limited public information or subjective elements.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Székesfehérvár tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to represent the most up-to-date assessment of the event’s likelihood. This creates a dynamic and real-time estimation of the potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Székesfehérvár tennis match between Lorena Schaedel and Maileen Nuudi. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also lead to adjustments in the market. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role, as traders react to new information and opinions. Ultimately, any event that alters the perceived likelihood of either player winning could move this market.