TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 9:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lisa Claeys and Lea Belanska in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Claeys' if Lisa Claeys advances against Lea Belanska. This market will resolve to 'Lea Belanska' if Lea Belanska advances against Lisa Claeys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lisa Claeys and Lea Belanska in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Claeys' if Lisa Claeys advances against Lea Belanska. This market will resolve to 'Lea Belanska' if Lea Belanska advances against Lisa Claeys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective forecast. The current price indicates what the market as a whole believes is the probability of a particular player winning the match, and this price is constantly updated based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár match between Lisa Claeys and Lea Belanska. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even weather forecasts impacting the court surface, could also cause movement. Public endorsements or analysis from tennis experts might also sway trader sentiment, leading to changes in the price of shares. Increased trading volume in the days leading up to the match is also a strong indicator of potential price fluctuations.