TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 7:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lisa Claeys and Aleksandra Janiszewska in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Claeys' if Lisa Claeys advances against Aleksandra Janiszewska. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandra Janiszewska' if Aleksandra Janiszewska advances against Lisa Claeys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lisa Claeys and Aleksandra Janiszewska in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Claeys' if Lisa Claeys advances against Aleksandra Janiszewska. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandra Janiszewska' if Aleksandra Janiszewska advances against Lisa Claeys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to collectively assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't fully been incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár tennis match between Lisa Claeys and Aleksandra Janiszewska. The player who wins the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes regarding the official result will be resolved based on publicly available information and established tennis tournament rules.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 15, 2026.