TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lea Belanska and Emilia Boroczky in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lea Belanska' if Lea Belanska advances against Emilia Boroczky. This market will resolve to 'Emilia Boroczky' if Emilia Boroczky advances against Lea Belanska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lea Belanska and Emilia Boroczky in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lea Belanska' if Lea Belanska advances against Emilia Boroczky. This market will resolve to 'Emilia Boroczky' if Emilia Boroczky advances against Lea Belanska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and increased supply driving them down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár match between Lea Belanska and Emilia Boroczky. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ strategies or any controversies surrounding the match could also cause significant price movements. Even broader tennis news, such as upsets in related tournaments, might indirectly affect the perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential shifts in the market.