TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 7:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lana Virc and Nadia Affelt in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lana Virc' if Lana Virc advances against Nadia Affelt. This market will resolve to 'Nadia Affelt' if Nadia Affelt advances against Lana Virc. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lana Virc and Nadia Affelt in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lana Virc' if Lana Virc advances against Nadia Affelt. This market will resolve to 'Nadia Affelt' if Nadia Affelt advances against Lana Virc. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly when there is significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and opinions. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the implied probability of each player winning, and traders can use this information to express their own views on the match’s likely result. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and informed trading.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár match between Lana Virc and Nadia Affelt. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available tennis results and standings. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the victor of the match by the tournament organizers, and that information is available to the public.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift the odds. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Lana Virc or Nadia Affelt could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader tennis news, such as upsets in other tournaments, might indirectly affect the perceived probabilities. Increased media coverage or public discussion about the match could also lead to greater trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.