TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kitti Molnar and Nika Stor in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kitti Molnar' if Kitti Molnar advances against Nika Stor. This market will resolve to 'Nika Stor' if Nika Stor advances against Kitti Molnar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kitti Molnar and Nika Stor in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kitti Molnar' if Kitti Molnar advances against Nika Stor. This market will resolve to 'Nika Stor' if Nika Stor advances against Kitti Molnar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when significant information asymmetry exists or when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal whether the crowd believes there's value in a particular outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's potential results. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár tennis match between Kitti Molnar and Nika Stor. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner of the match. The final result will be used to determine which shares payout, and at what rate, based on the final price of the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or broader tournament upsets, could also impact trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could serve as catalysts for price movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of Kitti Molnar’s or Nika Stor’s chances of winning will likely affect the trading activity in this market.