TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Katerina Zajickova and Sara Mikaca in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Zajickova' if Katerina Zajickova advances against Sara Mikaca. This market will resolve to 'Sara Mikaca' if Sara Mikaca advances against Katerina Zajickova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Katerina Zajickova and Sara Mikaca in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Zajickova' if Katerina Zajickova advances against Sara Mikaca. This market will resolve to 'Sara Mikaca' if Sara Mikaca advances against Katerina Zajickova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as the market may incorporate information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Zajickova vs Mikaca match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived likelihood of each player winning. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market's price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár match between Katerina Zajickova and Sara Mikaca. Any official announcements regarding match results, including disqualifications or forfeits, will be considered in determining the final outcome. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even unexpected weather forecasts could all impact the perceived probabilities. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in other sources like sports news or social media, might also drive trading volume and price movements. Any updates about the players’ recent performance or head-to-head records could also cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to changes in the odds for this market.