TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ema Lina Picorusevic and Lea Fojcik in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ema Lina Picorusevic' if Ema Lina Picorusevic advances against Lea Fojcik. This market will resolve to 'Lea Fojcik' if Lea Fojcik advances against Ema Lina Picorusevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ema Lina Picorusevic and Lea Fojcik in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ema Lina Picorusevic' if Ema Lina Picorusevic advances against Lea Fojcik. This market will resolve to 'Lea Fojcik' if Lea Fojcik advances against Ema Lina Picorusevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share represents the probability of Lea Fojcik winning, while the price of a 'no' share represents the probability of Ema Lina Picorusevic winning. The closer the price is to 1, the more likely the market believes that outcome will occur, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár match between Ema Lina Picorusevic and Lea Fojcik. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the event is unfolding.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or analysis suggesting a tactical advantage for one competitor, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring tennis news and following expert opinions will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could impact this market.