TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 9:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Mihalka and Amy Sucha in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Mihalka' if Anna Mihalka advances against Amy Sucha. This market will resolve to 'Amy Sucha' if Amy Sucha advances against Anna Mihalka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Mihalka and Amy Sucha in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Mihalka' if Anna Mihalka advances against Amy Sucha. This market will resolve to 'Amy Sucha' if Amy Sucha advances against Anna Mihalka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view and trade on it. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants or the incorporation of unique information not readily available to sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe Anna Mihalka will win, the higher the price of shares representing her victory will climb, and vice-versa for Amy Sucha. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and adjusts in real-time based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár tennis match between Anna Mihalka and Amy Sucha. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available scores and tournament results. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also lead to significant price movements. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, or even social media discussions, might also sway opinions and affect trading volume. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds for this market.