TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aneta Poborilova and Paulina Maier in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aneta Poborilova' if Aneta Poborilova advances against Paulina Maier. This market will resolve to 'Paulina Maier' if Paulina Maier advances against Aneta Poborilova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aneta Poborilova and Paulina Maier in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aneta Poborilova' if Aneta Poborilova advances against Paulina Maier. This market will resolve to 'Paulina Maier' if Paulina Maier advances against Aneta Poborilova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the market's consensus view, and changes in price indicate shifts in sentiment. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, signaling increased confidence in that result. This dynamic pricing allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár match between Aneta Poborilova and Paulina Maier, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will then verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook. Monitoring tennis news, social media discussions, and the trading activity on Polymarket can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.