TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ana Mukic and Patricia Bordas in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ana Mukic' if Ana Mukic advances against Patricia Bordas. This market will resolve to 'Patricia Bordas' if Patricia Bordas advances against Ana Mukic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ana Mukic and Patricia Bordas in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ana Mukic' if Ana Mukic advances against Patricia Bordas. This market will resolve to 'Patricia Bordas' if Patricia Bordas advances against Ana Mukic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Mukic vs Bordas match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the event, the more the price should converge towards the true probability of each outcome, as new information becomes available and traders refine their assessments. Currently, the market indicates a certain level of confidence in a particular result, as shown by the share prices.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár match between Ana Mukic and Patricia Bordas, as declared by the tournament organizers. The market will then determine which outcome – a win for Mukic or a win for Bordas – corresponds to the official result. All trading will cease upon resolution, and winning shares will be redeemable according to the final market price.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injury reports, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also lead to reassessments of player form and potential outcomes. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected by analyst predictions or betting trends, could drive increased volume and price fluctuations in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. These signals will all contribute to the evolving probabilities reflected in share prices.