TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adela Polakovicova and Lana Virc in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adela Polakovicova' if Adela Polakovicova advances against Lana Virc. This market will resolve to 'Lana Virc' if Lana Virc advances against Adela Polakovicova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adela Polakovicova and Lana Virc in the W15 Székesfehérvár, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adela Polakovicova' if Adela Polakovicova advances against Lana Virc. This market will resolve to 'Lana Virc' if Lana Virc advances against Adela Polakovicova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments of the match’s potential results, creating a real-time probability assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Székesfehérvár match between Adela Polakovicova and Lana Virc. The platform will verify the result against official tournament sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market’s pricing.