TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Iakukhina and Nadezhda Shamenkova in the W15 Szabolcsveresmart, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Iakukhina' if Sofia Iakukhina advances against Nadezhda Shamenkova. This market will resolve to 'Nadezhda Shamenkova' if Nadezhda Shamenkova advances against Sofia Iakukhina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Iakukhina and Nadezhda Shamenkova in the W15 Szabolcsveresmart, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Iakukhina' if Sofia Iakukhina advances against Nadezhda Shamenkova. This market will resolve to 'Nadezhda Shamenkova' if Nadezhda Shamenkova advances against Sofia Iakukhina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards another outcome, its share price will increase while the original outcome's price decreases. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Iakukhina vs Shamenkova match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This process ensures a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the players’ recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from tennis experts or shifts in betting trends at sportsbooks could also impact the market. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the perceived probabilities.