TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yael Saffar and Mia Robinson in the W15 Sumter, SC, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yael Saffar' if Yael Saffar advances against Mia Robinson. This market will resolve to 'Mia Robinson' if Mia Robinson advances against Yael Saffar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yael Saffar and Mia Robinson in the W15 Sumter, SC, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yael Saffar' if Yael Saffar advances against Mia Robinson. This market will resolve to 'Mia Robinson' if Mia Robinson advances against Yael Saffar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own information and beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than traditional sportsbooks, particularly in response to breaking news or unexpected developments surrounding the Saffar vs Robinson match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point that represents the collective forecast. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Saffar vs Robinson match. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the probability of a specific result.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Saffar vs Robinson match as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to verify the final score and declare a winner. It’s important to note that the resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about player form or fitness, or even significant media coverage influencing public perception of the Saffar vs Robinson match, could also cause price fluctuations. Unexpected upsets in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly affect the market as traders reassess probabilities. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements in the market leading up to Nov 3, 2026.