TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lena Thomas Iglesias and Kaya Baker in the W15 Sumter, SC, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lena Thomas Iglesias' if Lena Thomas Iglesias advances against Kaya Baker. This market will resolve to 'Kaya Baker' if Kaya Baker advances against Lena Thomas Iglesias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lena Thomas Iglesias and Kaya Baker in the W15 Sumter, SC, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lena Thomas Iglesias' if Lena Thomas Iglesias advances against Kaya Baker. This market will resolve to 'Kaya Baker' if Kaya Baker advances against Lena Thomas Iglesias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, and can move rapidly as new information becomes available or opinions shift regarding the Lena Thomas Iglesias vs Kaya Baker match. The current price indicates the market's collective expectation of the outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lena Thomas Iglesias vs Kaya Baker match as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result of this match. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could all impact predictions about the Lena Thomas Iglesias vs Kaya Baker match. Publicly released analyses from sports commentators or shifts in betting sentiment at sportsbooks might also prompt traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, any unforeseen circumstances affecting the match schedule or location could introduce volatility and alter the market's probabilities.