TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 1:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lena Thomas Iglesias and Amelie Smejkalova in the W15 Sumter, SC, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lena Thomas Iglesias' if Lena Thomas Iglesias advances against Amelie Smejkalova. This market will resolve to 'Amelie Smejkalova' if Amelie Smejkalova advances against Lena Thomas Iglesias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lena Thomas Iglesias and Amelie Smejkalova in the W15 Sumter, SC, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lena Thomas Iglesias' if Lena Thomas Iglesias advances against Amelie Smejkalova. This market will resolve to 'Amelie Smejkalova' if Amelie Smejkalova advances against Lena Thomas Iglesias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it may suggest that traders possess information not yet fully priced in by sportsbooks, or that they have different interpretations of the same information. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and participant biases.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sumter women's tennis match between Lena Thomas Iglesias and Amelie Smejkalova. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or shifts in expert analysis, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these factors and observing changes in trading volume will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 3, 2026.