TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 9:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Isha Manchala and Beatriz Guerra in the W15 Sumter, SC, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isha Manchala' if Isha Manchala advances against Beatriz Guerra. This market will resolve to 'Beatriz Guerra' if Beatriz Guerra advances against Isha Manchala. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Isha Manchala and Beatriz Guerra in the W15 Sumter, SC, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isha Manchala' if Isha Manchala advances against Beatriz Guerra. This market will resolve to 'Beatriz Guerra' if Beatriz Guerra advances against Isha Manchala. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a specific player, the higher the price rises, indicating increasing confidence in their victory. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and collective wisdom of the traders participating.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sumter, SC tennis match between Isha Manchala and Beatriz Guerra. This means the player who wins the match, as officially recorded, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match results, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions at the Sumter, SC venue could also play a role, particularly if one player is more affected by certain conditions than the other. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the players' chances of winning could drive trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.