TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 1:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amelie Smejkalova and Kallista Liu in the W15 Sumter, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amelie Smejkalova' if Amelie Smejkalova advances against Kallista Liu. This market will resolve to 'Kallista Liu' if Kallista Liu advances against Amelie Smejkalova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amelie Smejkalova and Kallista Liu in the W15 Sumter, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amelie Smejkalova' if Amelie Smejkalova advances against Kallista Liu. This market will resolve to 'Kallista Liu' if Kallista Liu advances against Amelie Smejkalova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information and incentives than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. Therefore, differences can emerge based on public perception, specialized knowledge among traders, or even late-breaking news. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before the event begins, as traders weigh various factors and adjust their predictions. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price movements indicate how traders are interpreting available information about the Smejkalova vs Liu match.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Smejkalova vs Liu match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Smejkalova vs Liu match could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts or shifts in public opinion could drive trading activity and alter the implied probabilities. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements before Nov 5, 2026.