TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Soulie and Allison Wang in the W15 Sumter, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alice Soulie' if Alice Soulie advances against Allison Wang. This market will resolve to 'Allison Wang' if Allison Wang advances against Alice Soulie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Soulie and Allison Wang in the W15 Sumter, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alice Soulie' if Alice Soulie advances against Allison Wang. This market will resolve to 'Allison Wang' if Allison Wang advances against Alice Soulie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the implied probabilities from this market to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd believes there may be value or mispricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The market's efficiency depends on the volume of trading and the diversity of opinions represented among the traders.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Alice Soulie vs Allison Wang match, as reported by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to payouts based on the final market prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, especially if it deviates from the initial market consensus. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price movements.