TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 1:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yui Chikaraishi and Xiaochuan Nie in the W15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yui Chikaraishi' if Yui Chikaraishi advances against Xiaochuan Nie. This market will resolve to 'Xiaochuan Nie' if Xiaochuan Nie advances against Yui Chikaraishi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yui Chikaraishi and Xiaochuan Nie in the W15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yui Chikaraishi' if Yui Chikaraishi advances against Xiaochuan Nie. This market will resolve to 'Xiaochuan Nie' if Xiaochuan Nie advances against Yui Chikaraishi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management, while this market relies on individuals' independent assessments. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. Examining these differences can highlight potential value opportunities for informed traders, as the market adjusts to new information and perspectives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective sentiment. The platform facilitates a liquid market for these predictions, allowing traders to express their views and potentially profit from accurate forecasts.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yui Chikaraishi vs Xiaochuan Nie tennis match in Singapore. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand how this market will ultimately be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential movements before the market resolves.