TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 2:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yeri Hong and Jeong Moon in the W15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yeri Hong' if Yeri Hong advances against Jeong Moon. This market will resolve to 'Jeong Moon' if Jeong Moon advances against Yeri Hong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yeri Hong and Jeong Moon in the W15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yeri Hong' if Yeri Hong advances against Jeong Moon. This market will resolve to 'Jeong Moon' if Jeong Moon advances against Yeri Hong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual traders' beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's lifecycle. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes before sportsbooks adjust their odds, or vice versa. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. This allows for a fluid adjustment of probabilities as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Yeri Hong vs Jeong Moon match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a clear and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategy or coaching changes could also impact the market. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in other sources like sports news and analysis, can also drive trading activity and alter the implied probabilities. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential market movements.