TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 2:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rion Itaya and Fang An Lin in the W15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rion Itaya' if Rion Itaya advances against Fang An Lin. This market will resolve to 'Fang An Lin' if Fang An Lin advances against Rion Itaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rion Itaya and Fang An Lin in the W15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rion Itaya' if Rion Itaya advances against Fang An Lin. This market will resolve to 'Fang An Lin' if Fang An Lin advances against Rion Itaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, leading to dynamic price adjustments. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing opinions, access to unique data, or simply the incentive structures of each venue. It's important to compare the odds to see where the market finds value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Itaya vs Lin match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The market's efficiency relies on informed traders and active participation.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Itaya vs Lin match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the players' form or strategic approaches could also cause significant movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market's assessment of the Itaya vs Lin match.