TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Khodzhaeva and Thasaporn Naklo in the W15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Khodzhaeva' if Ekaterina Khodzhaeva advances against Thasaporn Naklo. This market will resolve to 'Thasaporn Naklo' if Thasaporn Naklo advances against Ekaterina Khodzhaeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Khodzhaeva and Thasaporn Naklo in the W15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Khodzhaeva' if Ekaterina Khodzhaeva advances against Thasaporn Naklo. This market will resolve to 'Thasaporn Naklo' if Thasaporn Naklo advances against Ekaterina Khodzhaeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the Khodzhaeva vs Naklo match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. Currently, the market is driven by the volume of trading and the conviction of those actively participating in the Khodzhaeva vs Naklo match.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Khodzhaeva vs Naklo match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements for the definitive result.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or even weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the athletes' form or strategic approaches could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring news sources and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.