TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 1:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aruzhan Sagandykova and Moeka Miyata in the W15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aruzhan Sagandykova' if Aruzhan Sagandykova advances against Moeka Miyata. This market will resolve to 'Moeka Miyata' if Moeka Miyata advances against Aruzhan Sagandykova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aruzhan Sagandykova and Moeka Miyata in the W15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aruzhan Sagandykova' if Aruzhan Sagandykova advances against Moeka Miyata. This market will resolve to 'Moeka Miyata' if Moeka Miyata advances against Aruzhan Sagandykova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sagandykova vs Miyata match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. The current price indicates the cost to take a position on a particular result.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sagandykova vs Miyata match, as reported by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute funds accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching staff could all significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as court surface changes, might also have an impact. Even broader factors, like public perception of each player’s recent performance or analyst predictions, could contribute to price movements. Monitoring tennis news and social media for relevant updates is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.