TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yu Yang Jin and Constanza Pinochet Tapia in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yu Yang Jin' if Yu Yang Jin advances against Constanza Pinochet Tapia. This market will resolve to 'Constanza Pinochet Tapia' if Constanza Pinochet Tapia advances against Yu Yang Jin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yu Yang Jin and Constanza Pinochet Tapia in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yu Yang Jin' if Yu Yang Jin advances against Constanza Pinochet Tapia. This market will resolve to 'Constanza Pinochet Tapia' if Constanza Pinochet Tapia advances against Yu Yang Jin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation for the Shenzhen tennis match, and is influenced by a variety of factors including player form and recent results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen tennis match between Yu Yang Jin and Constanza Pinochet Tapia, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Shenzhen tennis match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in player form could all cause the market to react. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Yu Yang Jin or Constanza Pinochet Tapia could also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, major weather events that might affect the match schedule or court surface could lead to price adjustments as traders reassess the probabilities.