TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yiming Dang and Shiqing Yuan in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yiming Dang' if Yiming Dang advances against Shiqing Yuan. This market will resolve to 'Shiqing Yuan' if Shiqing Yuan advances against Yiming Dang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yiming Dang and Shiqing Yuan in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yiming Dang' if Yiming Dang advances against Shiqing Yuan. This market will resolve to 'Shiqing Yuan' if Shiqing Yuan advances against Yiming Dang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market reflects the collective beliefs of informed traders who have skin in the game. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may emerge, where traders can profit by betting on both platforms. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and potentially offer more accurate probabilities than traditional bookmakers, though this isn't always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth, or the number of shares available at different price points, also provides insight into the strength of conviction behind each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen tennis match between Yiming Dang and Shiqing Yuan. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will trigger the market's settlement and payout of winning shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or significant shifts in player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, might also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily move the price, although the overall consensus will likely prevail as the event draws nearer.