TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 7:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yiming Dang and Chengyiyi Yuan in the W15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yiming Dang' if Yiming Dang advances against Chengyiyi Yuan. This market will resolve to 'Chengyiyi Yuan' if Chengyiyi Yuan advances against Yiming Dang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yiming Dang and Chengyiyi Yuan in the W15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yiming Dang' if Yiming Dang advances against Chengyiyi Yuan. This market will resolve to 'Chengyiyi Yuan' if Chengyiyi Yuan advances against Yiming Dang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s a good practice to compare both to get a broader perspective on the potential outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely winner of the Shenzhen tennis match. The current volume suggests considerable interest in this event among PredictionHero users.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yiming Dang vs Chengyiyi Yuan tennis match in Shenzhen. Once the official results are available, Polymarket will determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might lead traders to reassess their positions and adjust the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.