TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yaxi Wang and Tiantian Sun in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yaxi Wang' if Yaxi Wang advances against Tiantian Sun. This market will resolve to 'Tiantian Sun' if Tiantian Sun advances against Yaxi Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yaxi Wang and Tiantian Sun in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yaxi Wang' if Yaxi Wang advances against Tiantian Sun. This market will resolve to 'Tiantian Sun' if Tiantian Sun advances against Yaxi Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction venues.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen tennis match between Yaxi Wang and Tiantian Sun, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift traders' perceptions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels and trading volume. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price swings. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Oct 19, 2026 resolution of the Shenzhen tennis match.