TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xichen Zhao and aoyi li in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xichen Zhao' if Xichen Zhao advances against aoyi li. This market will resolve to 'aoyi li' if aoyi li advances against Xichen Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xichen Zhao and aoyi li in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xichen Zhao' if Xichen Zhao advances against aoyi li. This market will resolve to 'aoyi li' if aoyi li advances against Xichen Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Shenzhen tennis match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Xichen Zhao vs aoyi li tennis match in Shenzhen. Any potential delays or disputes regarding the official result will be addressed based on publicly available information and established procedures. The platform will verify the outcome against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the final result of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players could also shift expectations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in broader public opinion regarding the Shenzhen tennis match could lead to notable price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 20, 2026.