TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Wei Zheng and Ching-Yi Hsu in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wei Zheng' if Wei Zheng advances against Ching-Yi Hsu. This market will resolve to 'Ching-Yi Hsu' if Ching-Yi Hsu advances against Wei Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Wei Zheng and Ching-Yi Hsu in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wei Zheng' if Wei Zheng advances against Ching-Yi Hsu. This market will resolve to 'Ching-Yi Hsu' if Ching-Yi Hsu advances against Wei Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Wei Zheng vs Ching-Yi Hsu match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Wei Zheng vs Ching-Yi Hsu match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the event. Following the match, the platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities of each player winning the Wei Zheng vs Ching-Yi Hsu match. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the event, such as changes in the match schedule or venue, could also trigger significant price movements. Overall, any information that alters the assessment of the players' chances will likely be reflected in the market.