TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sin Yu Che and Xiaochuan Nie in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sin Yu Che' if Sin Yu Che advances against Xiaochuan Nie. This market will resolve to 'Xiaochuan Nie' if Xiaochuan Nie advances against Sin Yu Che. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sin Yu Che and Xiaochuan Nie in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sin Yu Che' if Sin Yu Che advances against Xiaochuan Nie. This market will resolve to 'Xiaochuan Nie' if Xiaochuan Nie advances against Sin Yu Che. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand; if more people believe Sin Yu Che will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sin Yu Che versus Xiaochuan Nie tennis match in Shenzhen. The platform will verify the result against official tournament records and reporting to determine the winning outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual result of the sporting event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could also cause price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves leading up to the Oct 19, 2026 resolution of the Shenzhen tennis match.