TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shiqing Yuan and Xinuo Chen in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shiqing Yuan' if Shiqing Yuan advances against Xinuo Chen. This market will resolve to 'Xinuo Chen' if Xinuo Chen advances against Shiqing Yuan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shiqing Yuan and Xinuo Chen in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shiqing Yuan' if Shiqing Yuan advances against Xinuo Chen. This market will resolve to 'Xinuo Chen' if Xinuo Chen advances against Shiqing Yuan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches, providing a real-time assessment of potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shiqing Yuan vs Xinuo Chen match. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the outcome will be determined.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments leading up to the match could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, expert analysis, and even social media buzz can also play a role in shaping the market's price. Major upsets in related matches or broader sporting events could also indirectly affect this market, as traders adjust their overall risk appetite and predictions.