TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Qianyu Dong and Ziyu Zhou in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Qianyu Dong' if Qianyu Dong advances against Ziyu Zhou. This market will resolve to 'Ziyu Zhou' if Ziyu Zhou advances against Qianyu Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Qianyu Dong and Ziyu Zhou in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Qianyu Dong' if Qianyu Dong advances against Ziyu Zhou. This market will resolve to 'Ziyu Zhou' if Ziyu Zhou advances against Qianyu Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or a central authority setting the odds.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen tennis match between Qianyu Dong and Ziyu Zhou, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.