TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Niehua Tian and Wei Zheng in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niehua Tian' if Niehua Tian advances against Wei Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Wei Zheng' if Wei Zheng advances against Niehua Tian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Niehua Tian and Wei Zheng in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niehua Tian' if Niehua Tian advances against Wei Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Wei Zheng' if Wei Zheng advances against Niehua Tian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook implied probabilities, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the Niehua Tian vs Wei Zheng match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Niehua Tian vs Wei Zheng match, as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final outcome will be clearly documented on Polymarket.
Several signals or events could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift market sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports commentators or updated rankings could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate informed traders taking positions based on non-public information, causing a rapid shift in the implied probabilities for the Niehua Tian vs Wei Zheng match. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential market movements.