TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 12:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Junlu Sun and Jiangxue HAN in the W15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junlu Sun' if Junlu Sun advances against Jiangxue HAN. This market will resolve to 'Jiangxue HAN' if Jiangxue HAN advances against Junlu Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Junlu Sun and Jiangxue HAN in the W15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junlu Sun' if Junlu Sun advances against Jiangxue HAN. This market will resolve to 'Jiangxue HAN' if Jiangxue HAN advances against Junlu Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments surrounding the Junlu Sun vs Jiangxue HAN match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the Junlu Sun vs Jiangxue HAN match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Junlu Sun vs Jiangxue HAN match as determined by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could trigger movement. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader developments in the tennis world, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the Junlu Sun vs Jiangxue HAN match is crucial for understanding potential market movements.