TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiayue Pan and Kanna Soeda in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiayue Pan' if Jiayue Pan advances against Kanna Soeda. This market will resolve to 'Kanna Soeda' if Kanna Soeda advances against Jiayue Pan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiayue Pan and Kanna Soeda in the W15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiayue Pan' if Jiayue Pan advances against Kanna Soeda. This market will resolve to 'Kanna Soeda' if Kanna Soeda advances against Jiayue Pan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Shenzhen tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, and can be a useful indicator of potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jiayue Pan versus Kanna Soeda match in Shenzhen. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine the winning player. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several signals could influence this market before the Shenzhen tennis match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact the perceived probability of either Jiayue Pan or Kanna Soeda winning. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, potentially leading to price fluctuations in this market.