TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 3:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between jiale Zhang and Honori Koyama in the W15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'jiale Zhang' if jiale Zhang advances against Honori Koyama. This market will resolve to 'Honori Koyama' if Honori Koyama advances against jiale Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between jiale Zhang and Honori Koyama in the W15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'jiale Zhang' if jiale Zhang advances against Honori Koyama. This market will resolve to 'Honori Koyama' if Honori Koyama advances against jiale Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs through trades. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market lifecycle or when there’s significant uncertainty surrounding the event. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as they may highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with experts or has access to unique information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s efficiency relies on the active involvement of informed traders and the availability of relevant data, leading to a constantly updated probability assessment for the Zhang vs Koyama match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Shenzhen: jiale Zhang vs Honori Koyama match, as determined by the governing tennis organization. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions would likely have an impact. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price fluctuations. Public sentiment, analysis from tennis experts, and even weather forecasts for the match location could all contribute to shifts in the market’s assessment of the likely outcome of the Zhang vs Koyama match.