TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Honori Koyama and Sijia Wei in the W15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Honori Koyama' if Honori Koyama advances against Sijia Wei. This market will resolve to 'Sijia Wei' if Sijia Wei advances against Honori Koyama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Honori Koyama and Sijia Wei in the W15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Honori Koyama' if Honori Koyama advances against Sijia Wei. This market will resolve to 'Sijia Wei' if Sijia Wei advances against Honori Koyama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. If there's a significant difference, it might indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or vice versa. It’s always interesting to compare and contrast the two to see where the smart money appears to be flowing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and responsive assessment of the match’s potential results. This allows for a fluid and real-time evaluation of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Shenzhen Honori Koyama vs Sijia Wei match. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available and authoritative sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to their share holdings at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also have an impact. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, even if it doesn’t directly affect the players’ performance. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players’ relative chances of winning is likely to move this market, creating opportunities for informed traders.