TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 3:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hong Yi Cody Wong and Yuyao Li in the W15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hong Yi Cody Wong' if Hong Yi Cody Wong advances against Yuyao Li. This market will resolve to 'Yuyao Li' if Yuyao Li advances against Hong Yi Cody Wong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hong Yi Cody Wong and Yuyao Li in the W15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hong Yi Cody Wong' if Hong Yi Cody Wong advances against Yuyao Li. This market will resolve to 'Yuyao Li' if Yuyao Li advances against Hong Yi Cody Wong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ form and potential. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies for the Shenzhen tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Currently, the market is driven by the volume of trading and the directional bias of buyers and sellers, providing a dynamic assessment of the match’s potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen tennis match between Hong Yi Cody Wong and Yuyao Li, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses to understand the potential resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Shenzhen tennis match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Hong Yi Cody Wong or Yuyao Li could also impact the market. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in analysis from tennis experts, might lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments as traders react to new information and reassess the probabilities.