TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 7:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA and Xinle Geng in the W15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA' if Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA advances against Xinle Geng. This market will resolve to 'Xinle Geng' if Xinle Geng advances against Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA and Xinle Geng in the W15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA' if Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA advances against Xinle Geng. This market will resolve to 'Xinle Geng' if Xinle Geng advances against Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to adjust probabilities based on new information and their own insights. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it might indicate a disagreement between professional oddsmakers and the collective prediction of market participants. It's important to note that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are formed through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market incorporates the latest insights and provides a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current market reflects the collective judgment of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA versus Xinle Geng match in Shenzhen. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand how this market will be settled. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could drive trading activity and alter the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market before the match concludes.