TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Malova and Junhan Zhang in the W15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Malova' if Alexandra Malova advances against Junhan Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Junhan Zhang' if Junhan Zhang advances against Alexandra Malova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Malova and Junhan Zhang in the W15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Malova' if Alexandra Malova advances against Junhan Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Junhan Zhang' if Junhan Zhang advances against Alexandra Malova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals making their own assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's lifecycle or when significant information emerges. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there is value, or where the sportsbook may be mispricing the probability of a particular outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is influenced by new information and shifts in trader sentiment regarding the Shenzhen tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alexandra Malova versus Junhan Zhang tennis match in Shenzhen. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches featuring either player could also impact the market. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could lead to changes in trading behavior. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.